Happy July! It is truly a historic month as the United States of America celebrates its 250th anniversary. It’s hard to fathom that after thousands and thousands of years of human history, the U.S. Constitution adopted in 1787 is the oldest written national constitution still in use. On the economic front, the U.S. economy continues […]
GWM Newsletter – July 2026 Read More »
Happy June! Job growth in the U.S. surged to 172,000 net new jobs in May versus an expected 105,000. Meanwhile, job growth for both March and April were revised upward to 214,000 and 179,000, respectively. Unemployment stayed at 4.3 percent as the proportion of those seeking work approximately matched the proportion of new jobs. With
GWM Newsletter – June 2026 Read More »
Happy May! The growth rate for the U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) came in at 2.0 percent for the 1st quarter of 2026 and is now expected to be 3.5 percent for the 2nd quarter according to the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow ™. This is despite the uncertainty in Iran and higher energy costs from the
GWM Newsletter – May 2026 Read More »
Happy April! The number of jobs increased by 178,000 in March and the unemployment rate declined to 4.3 percent. The U.S. labor market continues to bestrong, despite the ongoing partial government shutdown and higher gasoline prices from the closing of the Strait of Hormuz in the Middle East. The Federal Reserve had been expected to
GWM Newsletter – April 2026 Read More »
Happy March! The number of jobs decreased by 92,000 in February and the unemployment rate increased to 4.4 percent. This is the third month of declining jobs in the past five months, and in combination with a rising unemployment rate, increases the probability of a rate decrease by the Federal Reserve. However, given inflation is
GWM Newsletter – March 2026 Read More »
Happy February! As January comes to an end, the U.S. economy continues to expand at an annual rate of about 4.2 percent according to the Atlanta Fed’sGDPNow™. However, job creation has been weak and job openings at the end of December totaled 6.5 million, lower than the expectation of 7.25 million available jobs. In addition,
GWM Newsletter – February 2026 Read More »
Happy New Year! As we begin 2026, we are beginning to see the end of the economic slowdown caused by the government shutdown. The Congressional Budget Office estimates the shutdown reduced economic activity by 1.5 percent. Even with this slowdown, we are still expecting GDP to grow by 2.7 percent in Q4 2025. Of course,
GWM Newsletter – January 2026 Read More »
Happy December! Inflation continues to decline to an annual rate of 2.8 percent in September from 2.9 percent in August. This is for the core personal consumption expenditures (CPE) price index, the preferred measure of inflation for the Federal Reserve. Additionally, private payrolls for November declined by 32,000 jobs in November, the biggest decline in
GWM Newsletter – December 2025 Read More »
Happy Fall! The U.S. economy continues to grow at 4.0 percent according to the GDPNow ® model of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta. Meanwhile, the partial U.S. government shutdown is now the longest in U.S. history, surpassing the 35 days the government was shut down ending in early 2019. The Federal Reserve cut interest
GWM Newsletter – November 2025 Read More »
Happy Fall! With the partial U.S. government shutdown, there are no weekly unemployment claims or monthly jobs report. In the meantime, private payroll data from ADP showed 32,000 jobs were lost in September versus an estimated gain of 51,000 and August private payroll data was revised down from an initial gain of 54,000 jobs to
GWM Newsletter – October 2025 Read More »
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